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Dogs
In the Year 2026
Note:
Much of what follows may seem impossible if you're not in the middle
of the fight. However all
of the laws needed to create the situation I'm about to describe
have been seriously proposed and nearly all of them are in effect
in some places. Current
trends give no reason to think they won't spread. The rest is just
predicting how people will react as that occurs.
The
good news is that there are still pets in 2026. Not quite
as many as twenty years ago, but most families that want a pet dog
or cat do have one. However ...
Only
about one dog in three is legal. Legal dogs come from large scale
commercial breeders and importers plus a handful of wealthy individuals
who still breed dogs as a hobby. Because of the many demands the
law makes of breeders (expensive licenses and 'puppy lemon' laws,
strict liability for attacks by their dogs, socialization requirements,
broad and detailed kennel and husbandry standards), legal dogs are
too costly for most people to own: upward from $5000 for a pet shop
dog. A 'sort of home bred' purebred starts at $15,000; maybe a bit
less for an imported animal. (All prices guessed in 2006 dollars.)
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Legal
dogs come from large scale commercial breeders and importers
plus a handful of wealthy individuals who still breed dogs
as a hobby.
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You
can also get a legal dog at the animal shelter for about $2000; most
of these are dogs that have been seized from illegal breeders or because
they were illegally owned. Larger shelters either import in quality
or since shelters are exempt from the anti-breeding laws and
husbandry standards operate their own breeding programs.
Ownership
of an intact dog requires
a very expensive license, available only to licensed (usually commercial
farm) breeders. All other legal dogs are sterilized. All are microchipped
and tracked by the government from birth to a required vet-signed
death certificate. The enforcement risks (what if your dog escapes,
your ACO finds a bees' nest in your yard and reports you for poor
care, or your vet turns you in for missing a required routine checkup)
add to the fear factor and the cost of owning a legal dog.
This
is of course the future that the animal rights movement wanted for
all dogs, on the way to completely eliminating pets. However, because
Americans really do love dogs, the AR movement hasn't been able
to get strong enough enforcement of the laws creating this grim
'legal' pet status to make it even close to 100%. The other two
out of every three dogs now, are illegal.
Most
illegal dogs come from
a vast cottage
industry of "back in the woods" or "over there under
the pile of boards behind the garage" very-small-scale illegal
breeders. Who is this 'puppy moonshine' maker? Your neighbor, your
aunt, or the guy who takes care of your car and maybe all
three.
Because
demand for pets has remained high but most people can't afford (or
are afraid to own) a legal dog, even illegal puppies are expensive
a minimum of $1000 for a four-week old just-weaned pup with
no shots, do your own worming. At these prices, people can make
good money breeding a single litter a year, and they do, even though
they don't have the required licenses, comply with the kennel requirements,
microchip their puppies, report names of new owners, or any of the
rest. They are thus completely outside the law, subject to severe
penalties if they get caught.
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This
is of course the future that the animal rights movement wanted
for all dogs, on the way to completely eliminating pets.
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The
good news is that these
breeders are willing to take the risk in exchange for the added
income, so middle class folks can still have dogs; the bad news
is that most of them don't know much about dogs or dog breeding.
In
theory, enforcement could
be tightened to almost completely choke off the illegal dogs, but
efforts by HSUS and friends to get even stronger laws and more money
for enforcement seem to have stalled. We pay billions in tax dollars
a year for a war on drugs that is only somewhat effective but there
is no chance that we'll vote to spend that kind of money to stop
illegal breeding, especially since most of us are getting our dogs
from outside the legal pet system.
In
fact even most animal shelters don't want illegal breeding stopped.
As was true in Los Angeles as early as 2005, illegal breeding has
become a profitable cash crop for shelters nationwide. Every breeder
bust yields perhaps $10,000 in shelter income for just a few hours
work. Shelters seize and sell the dogs and they fine the breeder
-- but not too big a fine or too many of the illegal breeders, because
that would kill the 'crop.'
No trial
is ever necessary because
illegal breeders are happy to plead guilty to a neglect charge carrying
a $1000 fine and sign over their animals, rather than face required
jail time for an illegal breeding conviction.
Illegal
dogs are nearly all mixes, although some do look like specific breeds
and a few of the underground breeders claim that they use only purebred
breeding animals. But no illegal dog comes with registration papers
since registration requires enrollment in the government-accessible
microchip data base.
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With
the end of practical middle class home breeding, came the
end of most breeds of purebred dog in America.
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It
is still legal to breed dogs on residential property in most states
but only people wealthy enough to be able to live in a properly
zoned area, build a kennel that complies with commercial standards,
and employ a kennelmaster to handle the licenses, paperwork, record
keeping, and inspections do it as a hobby and only by importing
nearly all their breeding animals. Naturally their puppies sell
mostly to other wealthy folks.
Next:
2026 Part II - Purebred dogs, Veterinary Care, Animal Welfare, and
Enforcement
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